Comments on: Prediction for 2010: The Era of the “Expert” Is Over http://lifedev.net/2010/01/prediction-for-2010-the-era-of-the-expert-is-over/ Helping Creative People Create Tue, 07 Feb 2012 01:51:00 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.2.1 By: travesti http://lifedev.net/2010/01/prediction-for-2010-the-era-of-the-expert-is-over/comment-page-1/#comment-13938 travesti Sat, 08 May 2010 06:26:11 +0000 http://lifedev.net/?p=1070#comment-13938 hi very nice your site's contents. If this is a nice sharing. Thanks hi very nice your site's contents. If this is a nice sharing. Thanks

]]> By: erich http://lifedev.net/2010/01/prediction-for-2010-the-era-of-the-expert-is-over/comment-page-1/#comment-13754 erich Wed, 13 Jan 2010 22:52:27 +0000 http://lifedev.net/?p=1070#comment-13754 I think you are missing a big point here. Experts used to be boring, they would say things that made sense, and would know enough to admit they could be wrong or not know. We voted with our feet and dollars, so the reporters (who are responsible for putting 'experts' in front of us) got the message. Now they put the type of 'expert' you're talking about in front of us. They make stupid, ignorant, obviously wrong, and/or sensationalistic claims. These claims turn out to be wrong, and pretty much right away. When this happens we get a bit of delight, thinking "look at me, im better than that expert, i was right (or at least not as wrong as him)". This is what we want, not some boring guy who talks about a complex feild in complex sentances -- these poindexters have no place in our entertainment. The money is in people with overly simple ideas (and those who oppose them with equally overly simplistic ideas) so that is what we get. Most people will never willingly give this up, depsite what the internet seems to indicate. I think you are missing a big point here. Experts used to be boring, they would say things that made sense, and would know enough to admit they could be wrong or not know. We voted with our feet and dollars, so the reporters (who are responsible for putting 'experts' in front of us) got the message. Now they put the type of 'expert' you're talking about in front of us. They make stupid, ignorant, obviously wrong, and/or sensationalistic claims. These claims turn out to be wrong, and pretty much right away. When this happens we get a bit of delight, thinking “look at me, im better than that expert, i was right (or at least not as wrong as him)”. This is what we want, not some boring guy who talks about a complex feild in complex sentances — these poindexters have no place in our entertainment. The money is in people with overly simple ideas (and those who oppose them with equally overly simplistic ideas) so that is what we get. Most people will never willingly give this up, depsite what the internet seems to indicate.

]]> By: Tim Glover http://lifedev.net/2010/01/prediction-for-2010-the-era-of-the-expert-is-over/comment-page-1/#comment-13742 Tim Glover Tue, 12 Jan 2010 17:11:42 +0000 http://lifedev.net/?p=1070#comment-13742 Great post. I believe that there is no absolute on the definitions around "expert" and there is no absolute on "truth" or whatever your focus, it is all subjective and should be acknowledged as such. The trick is finding someone that is a relevant expert for you at the time and given the circumstances. The political leaders, economists, financial types have advanced themselves on the basis of being experts within a certain type of environment. I would point out that an "expert" on complexity theory and knowledge management, David Snowden <a href="http://www.cognitive-edge.com/has" rel="nofollow">http://www.cognitive-edge.com/has</a> identified that there is a time and a place when relying on experts makes sense, and equally there is a time and a place to rely on intuitive navigation.<br>The trick to navigating the world, ie. relying on others or relying on self or both is made easier if you become an "expert" in reading the environment that you are trying to navigate. <br>An environment that is chaotic and/or complex is the domain of artists, creatives and entrepreneurs. An environment that is simple and/or complicated is the domain of best practices and "experts". <br><br>I fully agree that the age of "experts" ie. the age of simple/complicated is going to take a back seat for a time. The New Economy is volatile, uncertain and ambiguous and this requires that we tap our creative, our innate genius our everyday artist... and that is going to disappoint alot of academics and alot of old economy leader experts. A point in fact, it is going to level the playing field. Whether it ushers in a new age of creativity that is more collaborative and interdependent or it results in true chaos remains to be seen. Great post. I believe that there is no absolute on the definitions around “expert” and there is no absolute on “truth” or whatever your focus, it is all subjective and should be acknowledged as such. The trick is finding someone that is a relevant expert for you at the time and given the circumstances. The political leaders, economists, financial types have advanced themselves on the basis of being experts within a certain type of environment. I would point out that an “expert” on complexity theory and knowledge management, David Snowden http://www.cognitive-edge.com/has identified that there is a time and a place when relying on experts makes sense, and equally there is a time and a place to rely on intuitive navigation.
The trick to navigating the world, ie. relying on others or relying on self or both is made easier if you become an “expert” in reading the environment that you are trying to navigate.
An environment that is chaotic and/or complex is the domain of artists, creatives and entrepreneurs. An environment that is simple and/or complicated is the domain of best practices and “experts”.

I fully agree that the age of “experts” ie. the age of simple/complicated is going to take a back seat for a time. The New Economy is volatile, uncertain and ambiguous and this requires that we tap our creative, our innate genius our everyday artist… and that is going to disappoint alot of academics and alot of old economy leader experts. A point in fact, it is going to level the playing field. Whether it ushers in a new age of creativity that is more collaborative and interdependent or it results in true chaos remains to be seen.

]]> By: Walter http://lifedev.net/2010/01/prediction-for-2010-the-era-of-the-expert-is-over/comment-page-1/#comment-13738 Walter Tue, 12 Jan 2010 03:03:26 +0000 http://lifedev.net/?p=1070#comment-13738 I have always been cynical about experts. But there are those whom I can fit the title of experts, they are those who are humble in their words and speak through experience. They are those who allow you to reflect upon yourself and see the bigger picture. :-) I have always been cynical about experts. But there are those whom I can fit the title of experts, they are those who are humble in their words and speak through experience. They are those who allow you to reflect upon yourself and see the bigger picture. :-)

]]> By: Alexandra http://lifedev.net/2010/01/prediction-for-2010-the-era-of-the-expert-is-over/comment-page-1/#comment-13730 Alexandra Thu, 07 Jan 2010 21:53:55 +0000 http://lifedev.net/?p=1070#comment-13730 Great post! Experts have been getting on my nerves. Most of them not only have no real qualifications in what they're supposed to be experts in, but merely come to the title because they are of the personality that they are willing to put their predictions out there and be wrong. And a personality trait should not be what separates experts from others! Become your own expert! Great post! Experts have been getting on my nerves. Most of them not only have no real qualifications in what they're supposed to be experts in, but merely come to the title because they are of the personality that they are willing to put their predictions out there and be wrong. And a personality trait should not be what separates experts from others! Become your own expert!

]]> By: Glen Stansberry http://lifedev.net/2010/01/prediction-for-2010-the-era-of-the-expert-is-over/comment-page-1/#comment-13727 Glen Stansberry Thu, 07 Jan 2010 15:08:53 +0000 http://lifedev.net/?p=1070#comment-13727 Yeah, the title was meant to be tongue-in-cheek ;) Yeah, the title was meant to be tongue-in-cheek ;)

]]> By: Kamal http://lifedev.net/2010/01/prediction-for-2010-the-era-of-the-expert-is-over/comment-page-1/#comment-13726 Kamal Thu, 07 Jan 2010 14:30:04 +0000 http://lifedev.net/?p=1070#comment-13726 So we are guessing this post too, aren't we? :P<br>But yeah! Well said sir. The era of expert has gone overboard for sure... Esp the "twitter-self-proclaimed-title-experts" and such. So we are guessing this post too, aren't we? :P
But yeah! Well said sir. The era of expert has gone overboard for sure… Esp the “twitter-self-proclaimed-title-experts” and such.

]]> By: Glen Stansberry http://lifedev.net/2010/01/prediction-for-2010-the-era-of-the-expert-is-over/comment-page-1/#comment-13725 Glen Stansberry Thu, 07 Jan 2010 14:22:44 +0000 http://lifedev.net/?p=1070#comment-13725 I like the Dreyfus model, but I think it's a bit off. Here's how I think it should look:<br><br>1. Novice<br> * rigid adherence to rules<br> * no discretional judgment<br> <strong>* update Twitter profile to reflect level of "expert"</strong><br><br>;) I like the Dreyfus model, but I think it's a bit off. Here's how I think it should look:

1. Novice
* rigid adherence to rules
* no discretional judgment
* update Twitter profile to reflect level of “expert”

;)

]]> By: Shrey http://lifedev.net/2010/01/prediction-for-2010-the-era-of-the-expert-is-over/comment-page-1/#comment-13724 Shrey Thu, 07 Jan 2010 14:01:43 +0000 http://lifedev.net/?p=1070#comment-13724 Great article... I feel intuition and instinct are the two guiding forces of our life. Trust them , and they are the experts that you need. :) Great article… I feel intuition and instinct are the two guiding forces of our life. Trust them , and they are the experts that you need. :)

]]> By: Kyle Stern http://lifedev.net/2010/01/prediction-for-2010-the-era-of-the-expert-is-over/comment-page-1/#comment-13723 Kyle Stern Thu, 07 Jan 2010 13:59:55 +0000 http://lifedev.net/?p=1070#comment-13723 Couldn't agree more, Glen. I'm a big fan of the Dreyfus model of skill acquisition which proposes a five-stage method with the term "expert" as the last stage. The qualities of an expert, according to the Dreyfus model are:<br>1. No longer reliant on rules, guidelines, maxims.<br>2. Intuitive grasp of situation, based on tacit knowledge.<br>3. Vision of what is possible<br>Here's a link from Wikipedia about the Dreyfus model. There's way more knowledge out there about this knowledge, but Wikipedia seemed the quickest one to link. <a href="http://is.gd/5RhTN" rel="nofollow">http://is.gd/5RhTN</a> Couldn't agree more, Glen. I'm a big fan of the Dreyfus model of skill acquisition which proposes a five-stage method with the term “expert” as the last stage. The qualities of an expert, according to the Dreyfus model are:
1. No longer reliant on rules, guidelines, maxims.
2. Intuitive grasp of situation, based on tacit knowledge.
3. Vision of what is possible
Here's a link from Wikipedia about the Dreyfus model. There's way more knowledge out there about this knowledge, but Wikipedia seemed the quickest one to link. http://is.gd/5RhTN

]]>